Industrial Production
Production and utilization data near expectations, which was up 0.7%
CPI near expectations (up 0.4%, 0.1%, x 0.3%, 0.1%), bond traders pleased data did not shock like PPI yesterday
PPI up 1.7%, core up 0.2%, expected up 0.8%, 0.1%--Retail sales up 2.7%, expected up 1.9%, data not bond friendly. Rates will go up a little.
Today's $38 billion 3 year note auction went well. All eyes will be on the 10 year note auction tomorrow.
Jobs down 216k, unemployment at 9.7%, expected –230k, 9.5%, data split.
In news released this morning, the ADP payroll estimate indicated the US economy shed 298,000 jobs last month. That data was weaker than expectations for a decline of 250,000 jobs. This report is known for wide misses from the BLS report scheduled for release Friday.
Fed Said: Economy slowly improving, low inflation, no need to expand or cut lending programs, will keep rates low for extended period, labor market remains a concern,
Factory orders data was released weaker than expected. Analysts were expecting orders to rise 2.1%, however orders only rose 1.3%. That data was bond friendly.
In other news, Q2 productivity rose 6.6%, better than expectations for an increase of 6.4%. Increased productivity allows companies to produce more units of output with the same input. This keeps costs low and helps to cap inflation fears. This is the highest reading since 2003.
In news released this morning, the ADP payroll estimate indicated the US economy shed 298,000 jobs last month. That data was weaker than expectations for a decline of 250,000 jobs. This report is known for wide misses from the BLS report scheduled for release Friday.